The Chant of Savant

Monday 23 May 2022

THE CURRENT STATE OF POLITICS IN TANZANIA.


The political “hot  news”  at  the  beginning  of   this  month ;  was  the  information   relating  to  the  Report  of  the  ‘special  Task  Force’  which  had  been  set  up  earlier   by  President  Samia  Suluhu  Hassan,  consisting  of   representatives  from  political  parties,  civil  society  Organizations,  government  officials and   other  stakeholder  experts,  which  had  been  tasked   “to  coordinate    views   regarding  the  necessary  reforms  that  are  need,  in  order  to  provide   ‘a  fair  space’  for  all  participating  stakeholders’. Thus, the “provision  of   fair  space”   appears  to  be,  currently,  the   “greatest  need  for  the  greatest  number  of  people”   in  the  politics  of  Tanzania.
  According to the  information  reported  in  THE  CITIZEN   on  Sunday   of  1st  May,  2022;  most  of  the  views  expressed   centered  mainly   on  electoral  reform  proposals.  It was  reported  thus:-   “The  Tanganyika  Law  Society (TLS);  and  the  General  Council  of  Islamic  Communities  and  Institutions  in  Tanzania;  had  a  chance  to  present  their  views  on  Friday,  with  both  sides  providing  alternatives  to  ensuring  free  and  fair  elections”.  And further  that   the  matters  of  major  concern were  the  following:-                                                                       
(i) the  involvement  of  District  Executive  Directors  (who  are  government  employees),  as  election   Returning  Officers;  in  respect  of  which   the  spokesman  from  the  Islamic  communities  Organization  said: “DEDs  are  appointed  by  the  President,,  and  therefore  they  are  very  likely  to  alter  election  results  in  favour  of  their  boss”;   and  (ii)  the  establishment  of  “an  independent  Electoral  Commission”;  regarding  which   the  spokesman  from  TLS  said:  “we  have  suggested  an  independent  electoral  commission,  whose  supervisors  should  not  be  among   the  government  employees,  so   as  to  avoid  conflict  of  interest  and  bias”.  
(iii)  The urgent need  for  a  “new  constitution”;  a  point  which  was “hammered  home”  by CHADEMA  Chairman Freeman  Mbowe,  in  his  speech  during  the  opening  of  that  party’s  meeting    of  its  Baraza  Kuu.    
        I was moved  to  write  this  article,   primarily  for  two  reasons:-                       
(a)  to examine the  rationale  of  associating  these  purely  electoral  reforms  with  the  need  for  a  new  constitution;                                                                
 (b)  to provide a helpful   reminder,  that  the  need  ‘for  fair  space’  applies  not  only  to  political  parties;  but  also  to   the  equally  important  women  sector   of  our  society,  who  are  also   entitled   to  be  considered  for  this  “fair  space”
Electoral   reforms do   not   require a new constitution.  
Any   country’s   Constitution is   the   fundamental   law   of   that   country.  It is  a  very  special  legal  document  which   is   clothed  in  a  special  form  of  sanctity,  aimed  at  protecting  it  from  any   ‘casual’  encroachments. Such protections include restrictions  placed  on  the  kind  of  issues  which   qualify  for  inclusion  therein;   the  special  way  in  which  the  constitution  is  enacted  (which  is  totally  different  from  the  way  the  ordinary  laws  of  the  land  are  enacted);  and   even   the  procedure  for  its  amendment,  is  demonstrably  different  from  that  which  is  followed  in  amending  the  ordinary  laws  of  the  land.
        That is  actually  what  explains  why  the  Constitutions  of   older  countries,  like  that  of  the  United  states  of  America,  has  survived  for  centuries  without  being  replaced  with  new  constitutions.  But whenever   the  need  arises  for  reforms  to  be  made  thereto,  that  is  done   simply  through  amendments.                                             
        Thus, it  is  my  strong  contention,   that   such  purely   electoral   issues,  are  not  the  kind  of   matters  that   are  not  governed  by  the  country’s  Constitution;  since  they  are  governed  by  the  country’s  electoral   laws. However, for entirely  different,  and  cogent  reasons,   we  certainly  do  need  a new  Constitution  which  will  rectify  many  areas,  including:-                     
The issue  of  providing  ‘fair  space’  for  women’s  participation.
This is one  of  the  issues  which  can  be  effectively  handled  only   through  the making  of  appropriate   reforms  to  the  Constitution,  as  clearly  evidenced  by  our  own  constitutional  history.    I am here   referring   to the   particular   issue  of  “women  in  Parliament”.
The introduction of  the  women’s  ‘special  seats’.
It may presumably be remembered by some  of  our  readers, that the main  purpose  for  the introduction   of such ‘special seats’ for  women; was to address  the gender impediment to women’s  political advancement, through   this  methodology  of   giving   them greater representation, not only in Parliament,  but  also in the Local Government Authority  Councils. 
It is for that  reason  that  the country’s  Constitution  was  amended,  initially   to include  a  new provision  for  “not less than 15%  of the total number of MPs  to be women.    And   the Local Government Laws were similarly amended to provide for  “not less than 25%  of  each  Council’s   members  to be women.   A subsequent constitutional amendment  further  raised  this percentage  point  to “not  less  that  30%.  And was further raised  in  2020 to not  less  than  40%. This provision was, however, not   intended  to  reduce ‘the open space’ which is available for competition  by  anyone  irrespective of gender,  namely  the  constituency  seats.   Instead, it was intended to   just provide for ‘extra space’  for women,  to  enter  the  Legislative  Branch  of  the  government,  and  the  Local  Authority  Councils.
But, and   indeed unfortunately, the notion  of ‘special seats’ created  two unintended   disadvantages  for the women:- One  was  there  developed  a  male  ‘conspiracy’  of   unfairly  treating  them   as  ‘preferential seats,  (with  the  negative  aim  of  lowering  their  value,  compared  to  the  regular  Parliamentary  constituency  MPs). Thus, as a consequence  thereof,  the  ‘special  seats’  MPs  tended  to  be treated   as ‘inferior class’ MPs;  a ‘male  ‘conspiracy’  which appeared  to   hurt  the  women  MPs  psychologically,   but,  to  their  great  credit,     they  bravely  continued  to  ‘soldier  on’.                
        The second disadvantage was that  this ‘special seats’ provision also  appeared to reduce  the women’s  chances of being elected  in the constituencies,  since  the  male  chauvinists  were  conspiratorially  telling    the voters  ‘not  to vote’ for any woman candidate  in  the  constituencies, “since the women have their own reserved seats in Parliament”!                                
        This deliberately crafted misleading ‘strategy’  seems to have impacted negatively  on  the   women’s  chances  of  getting  elected  in  the  constituencies. For example, in the tenth Parliament, out of 239 the   constituencies, women  candidates (of all political parties) were able to win in only 21 constituencies.  And in the eleventh Parliament, out of an increased number of 264 constituencies, women   candidates were able to win in only 26 constituencies.
The original intention was also frustrated.  
Another  unintended  outcome,  was  the  unintended  frustration  of  the  original  “intention  of  the  constitution-makers”  in  this  case, which   was  that   women   would    use  these  ‘special  seats’   only  as  “a passage  way”,   to  be  utilized  for  the  purpose  only  of  gaining  greater  confidence,  plus  experience,   which  would  equip  them  adequately  for   participation  in  the  regular   constituency  election  competitions;    for  example,   after  they  had  served  in  that  capacity  for  the  first five  years;  they  would  willingly   give  those  opportunities   to  other  women  to  enter  and  occupy  these  special  seats,  in  order  for  them  to  gain  the  same  experience;  thus  spreading  those  benefits  to  a  larger  number  of  women  in  the  community.   
However, what actually   transpired was  totally  different;  as  many  of   those  who  got  elected  to  these  ‘special seats’  did  not  want  to  leave  them;  thus   frustrating  the  good   intention  of  the  constitution-makers.         
The issue  of  the  independent  candidates’  participation in elections.
This is another matter  which  requires  a  new  Constitution,  which  will  remove  the  present  constitutional  restriction  on  the  participation  of  “private  candidates”  in  all   our  elections. These   restrictions are prescribed  in  articles  39, 47, and  67  of  the Constitution.;  and  must  have  been  introduced  for ‘good  reasons’  in  the  circumstances  of  the  times  when  they  were  imposed;  but  those   times  and  circumstances  have  now  changed.      
The issue of providing   ‘fair  space’  for  winning  elections.
         The underlying   purpose for demanding a ‘new  Constitution’,  an  ‘independent  electoral  Commission’,  etc;   is  the  desire  on  the  part  of  the  opposition  parties  to  defeat  CCM  at  a  given  general  election.  This is indeed, an entirely  valid  objective  to  be  pursued  under  the  multi-party  political  system  which  we  are  operating  in  Tanzania.     
        However, CCM’s   defeat   at past general   elections  has   not  occurred,  largely  because   of  its  inherent,  or  in-built    advantage;   namely   the  unity  of  its  very  vast  membership   population,   which  is  what  has  effectively   shielded   this  party  from  any   such  defeat.  This ‘inherent   strength’   has been  tested  twice, and  proved  to be manifestly  solid.                                                                                                                                
The first test was when   Augustine Mrema  decamped from  CCM,  just before the 1995  first multi-party general election;  with  high  expectations  of  winning     that  election  on  an  opposition  ticket.  To his great disappointment, that  did  not happen.  Which   reminds me of   the Biblical story of Samson, whose extraordinary strength lay in the hair on his head.  Mrema’s apparent   massive political strength  appears to have been rooted  in his membership of CCM;  because  soon  after  he decamped  there from,   his  political  strength  suddenly  evaporated.   
The second test came when   Edward  Lowassa, also decamped to CHADEMA  just before the 2015 general elections;   with   similarly   high  expectations  of   winning  that  election  on  an  opposition  ticket.  But, again   like  in  the Biblical Samson  story,  Lowassa’s  seemingly huge political strength  was  also embedded  in his membership of CCM,  and  similarly evaporated  when he defected to the Opposition. This evidence,  I  submit,  adequately  proves   CCM’s  inherent,  or  in-built,   institutional strength;  which  is  expressed  in its  Kiswahili slogan  of   “Chama  kwanza,   mtu  baadaye”.  
        It is conceded, however,  that  CCM  can  indeed  be  defeated  at  a general  election,   because  of  other  weaknesses,   such  as  the  following:-
The ‘self-inflicted’ injuries.   
CCM’s   biggest   election defeat threat, is  in  the area  of   “self-inflicted injuries.   These are  defined  as  ‘injuries  that  are  carelessly imposed upon itself  by  its own negligent actions’.   From my own  experience  in  the  service  of  CCM,  the   main  such   injury  has  been  its  carelessness  in the selection of its candidates  for the general elections.                            
        In my considered  opinion,   this  is  the  only  “killer  disease”  which  is  most  likely  going  to  remove  CCM  from  power;   if,  or  when,  the  party   will  fail  to select  electable   candidates.     
     The   lack of   committed   trust in  the  top  leader.
 Another   such ‘killer’ disease  that  could  cause  CCM’s  demise  from  power;    is   the  “loss  of  people’s  trust”  in  its  top  leader’.  The test of such  ‘loss  of  trust’  in   CCM’s    top-leader,  was  amply  demonstrated  during   President  Jakaya  Kikwete’s   final  term in office.  This ‘loss of  trust’   was  created  principally  by  the  emergence  of   certain   scandals,   which  were  directly  associated  with  a number  of  government leaders  in  his  government;  and,  consequently,  they   also   became  associated  with  him  as the  President.  
The said scandals  included:   
(a) the ‘Richmond scandal’,  which  eventually  led to the resignation of then Prime Minister Edward  Lowassa;  and                                 
(b)  the equally damaging scandals  which  followed  thereafter  in  very  quick  succession;   relating  to money which was allegedly  stolen from  the Central  Bank’s  External Payments Account (EPA);  scandals  which were  again  associated  with  government  leaders, including  Ministers, in   President  Kikwete’s government.  
        Naturally, such  serious   accusations   created a  great  deal  of   anger among many Tanzanians,   which  was   directed  specifically  at President  Kikwete  himself,  accusing  him of deliberately  protecting  the culprits,  in view of his alleged  failure  to take effective action against them.                      
        It is  this ‘loss of trust’  in  him,  which  drastically  reduced his election victory from  the  grand  80.25%  which he had obtained  in 2005,  down  to  61.17% , which  he received in  the  2010  Presidential  election. “Beware the ides  of  march”  (William  Shakespeare  in  Julius  Caesar,  Act  I  scene II).
piomsekwa@gmail.com/0754767576.
Source: Cde Msekwa

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